DP Notes - Falcons at Eagles
January 10, 2018
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The Philadelphia Eagles are officially the most disrespected No. 1 seed in the playoffs in NFL history. Few believe they actually have a shot to win the Super Bowl, and they have the longest odds left among the four teams to win the conference.
Now, the No. 1 seed in the NFC is a dog to the last team that snuck into the playoffs in the conference. The Atlanta Falcons aren't your typical No. 6 seed, though; this is a team that won the NFC just last season and won't be intimidated going into the City of Brotherly Love.
Getting No Respect
Being the No. 1 seed in either conference doesn't necessarily mean that you were the best team, but it does mean that you were good enough to win a bunch of games in the regular season. The Eagles were no slouches, beating the Panthers and Rams on the road this season while winning a bunch of games against teams that just missed out on the postseason.
That said, with Nick Foles under center in place of the injured Carson Wentz, this feels like a much different team. The Eagles have gone seven quarters without an offensive touchdown dating back to Christmas Day, and they don't figure to score a ton in this game either.
That's why Philadelphia is the first No. 1 seed to ever be a dog in its first playoff game in either the AFC or the NFC.
This is also the first time a No. 1 seed has been an underdog to a No. 6 seed at any juncture of the playoffs in NFL history.
No Fly Zone
The Eagles have played seven home playoff games dating back to 2004, and they all have one remarkable thing in common: They've all gone under the total.
Philadelphia has averaged just 20.0 points per game in those seven home playoff games, and it's sporting a suspect record of just 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS in that span.
Let's give a tip of the cap to the Eagles' defense, though. This unit has only allowed more than 21 points twice at home since New Year's Eve 2000 in playoff games.
Riding High in the A-T-L
Heading into last season, the big knock on Matt Ryan was that he was never able to win games when they counted in January. Matty Ice had won just one postseason game before last season, but now, he's won three of his last four, including winning a postseason game on the road for the first time against the Rams last week.
Atlanta has now won and covered three consecutive playoff games, and without a big fourth-quarter collapse against the Patriots in the Super Bowl, we'd be talking about a team that has both won and covered four straight in the postseason, a feat that is virtually impossible to pull off.
Falcons vs. Eagles Playoff History
1979 (at Atlanta): Falcons 14, Eagles 13
2003 (at Philadelphia): Eagles 20, Falcons 6 (Philadelphia -7.5 / Under 38.5)
2005 (at Philadelphia): Eagles 27, Falcons 10 (Philadelphia -4.5 / Under 41)
Falcons vs. Eagles Opening NFL Odds
Falcons at Eagles (+3, 43.5)
Falcons vs. Eagles Current NFL Odds (Updated 1/7)
Falcons at Eagles (+3, 41.5)
(Odds courtesy of BookMaker.eu)
16-7 L3 Sun, 11-2 L6 Thurs, +1,976
5-0 +555 Sunday, 6-1 G-Plays TY
14-7 Sun., 37-17 Oct., 8-3 G-Plays
14-6 L20 Picks, 15-5 L4 Sundays
5-1 L6 G-Plays, 15-7 L22 Picks
5-0 Win Streak, 2-0 L2 Guarantees
3-0 Sunday, 6-1 Record L2 Sundays
10-4 L14 Streak, 6-2 L8 G-Plays
12-4 L4 Sundays, 17-7 NFL Streak
11-2 G-Plays TY, 8-4 L12 Totals
7-2 L9 Picks, 4-1 L5 Guarantees
6-3 Sunday, 4-0 Totals, 2-0 G-Plays
4-2 Sunday, 10-5 Over/Unders TY
2-0 Sunday, 8-3 Run, 6-2 G-Plays
10-3 Streak, 21-11 (66%) +899 TY
5-2 L7 Guarantees, 9-4 L13 Picks
3-1 Last Sunday, 13-7 L20 Totals
4-1 L5 Thursdays, 18-9 L27 GPlays
4-1 L5 G-Plays, 8-4 L2 Sundays
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